Category: Engineering

  • KRN Heat Exchanger Q3: 43% Profit Jump, Eyes ₹42,000 Cr FY26 Revenue

    KRN Heat Exchanger – Value Pick Multibagger Stock for long term

    KRN Heat Exchanger and Refrigeration Limited

    Value Pick Multibagger Stock for long term

    Market Data

    Market Metrics

    Market Cap: ₹4,584 Cr

    Current Price: ₹738

    52-Week High/Low: ₹904 / ₹402

    Key Ratios

    Stock P/E: 115

    Book Value: ₹80.5

    Dividend Yield: 0.00%

    Performance Metrics

    ROCE: 42.1%

    ROE: 41.9%

    Promoter Holding: 70.8%

    Q3 FY25 Financial Performance

    Revenue: ₹9,109.59 Lakhs (YoY growth: 28.41%, QoQ growth: 15%)

    EBITDA: ₹1,955.27 Lakhs (Margin: 21.17%)

    Net Profit: ₹1,231.08 Lakhs (YoY growth: 42.98%)

    Product-Wise Revenue Contribution (FY25)

    Evaporator Coils

    ₹11,558.70 Lakhs

    37.49% of Revenue

    Condenser Coils

    ₹17,029.57 Lakhs

    55.24% of Revenue

    Other Segments

    ₹2,240.04 Lakhs

    7.27% of Revenue

    Future Growth Projections

    Revenue FY25

    ₹35,000 Cr

    Growth: +18% YoY

    Revenue FY26

    ₹42,000 Cr

    Growth: +20% YoY

    EBITDA FY25

    ₹7,000 Cr

    Margin: ~20%

    EBITDA FY26

    ₹8,500 Cr

    Margin: ~20.2%

    Strategic Initiatives

    Capacity Expansion

    New facility under KRN HVAC Products

    Target: 2 million units by FY27

    R&D Investments

    ₹25 Lakhs annual investment

    Focus on thermal efficiency

    Customer Base Expansion

    Target: 200+ clients

    Across 12+ countries by FY26

    Industry Outlook

    Global Heat Exchanger Market

    Expected CAGR: 6.2%

    Market Size: $20 billion by 2030

    Indian HVAC Market

    Projected CAGR: 12.5%

    Growth Drivers: Urbanization, infrastructure expansion, industrial activity

    Risk Analysis

    High Valuation

    P/E of 115 implies high growth expectations

    Customer Concentration

    Top 10 customers contribute 75.94% of revenue

    Export Challenges

    Exposure to forex fluctuations and geopolitical risks

    Valuation

    DCF Valuation Parameters:

    Terminal Growth Rate: 6%

    Discount Rate: 10%

    Intrinsic Value: ₹850

    Upside Potential: ~15% from current price of ₹738

    Investment Thesis

    KRN Heat Exchanger represents a compelling growth opportunity in the HVAC&R sector, supported by:

    • Strong demand growth in domestic and export markets

    • Innovative product development and R&D focus

    • Strategic expansion plans and operational efficiency

    • Robust financial performance with improving margins

    However, investors should consider the high valuation and customer concentration risks.

    Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors are advised to conduct their due diligence and consult financial advisors before making investment decisions.

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