Category: Hotels & Restaurants

  • India Hotels IHCL Q3: 325+ Hotels Target, 2500 Croe Capex

    IHCL Q3 FY2025 Comprehensive Stock Research Report | Indian Hotels Company Limited

    IHCL Q3 FY2025 Results Stock Research Report

    1. Company Overview

    Indian Hotels Co Ltd (IHCL), a part of the Tata Group, is India’s largest hospitality company with a legacy spanning over 120 years. Operating in over 125 locations across India and international markets, including the UK, US, Middle East, Africa, Sri Lanka, and the Maldives.

    Business Model

    Owned & Leased Hotels

    Higher margins, asset-heavy model

    Management Contracts

    Scalable, asset-light model for long-term growth

    Institutional Catering

    Taj SATS – Strategic expansion in airport and railways catering

    Branded Residences

    ama Stays & Trails – Premium home rentals

    2. Key Financial Highlights (Q3 FY2025)

    Standalone Performance

    Revenue: ₹1,47,361 Cr (+15% YoY)

    EBITDA: ₹63,346 Cr (42.9%)

    Net Profit: ₹46,877 Cr (+23%)

    EPS: ₹3.30

    OPM: 32.9%

    Consolidated Performance

    Revenue: ₹2,53,305 Cr (+29% YoY)

    EBITDA Margin: 32.9%

    PAT: ₹63,253 Cr (+33.6%)

    Exceptional Gain: ₹30,736 Cr

    Balance Sheet Metrics

    Market Cap: ₹1,06,459 Cr

    Debt: ₹2,973 Cr (D/E: 0.30x)

    Reserves: ₹10,014 Cr

    ROCE: 15.1%, ROE: 14.3%

    P/E: 68.2x

    3. Growth Plans & Expansion Strategy

    Planned Expansions

    • Targeting 325+ hotels by FY2026 (currently ~280 hotels)
    • 40+ hotels under asset-light management contract model
    • New Taj hotels in Goa, Mumbai, Jaipur, and Delhi
    • 30+ new Ginger hotels by FY2026
    • International expansion in Dubai, Maldives, Saudi Arabia, and UK

    Strategic Investments

    Planned Capex for FY2025-26: ₹2,500 Cr for new developments, refurbishments, and digital transformation

    4. Competitive Landscape & Industry Outlook

    Industry Trends

    • Travel & Tourism Boom: 14% CAGR till 2030
    • Rising Business Travel: Post-pandemic MICE recovery
    • Luxury Segment Growth: Premiumization trend
    • Government Initiatives: G20 summit impact

    Key Risks

    • High Valuation Risk: P/E 68.2x vs industry 50-55x
    • Inflation & Rising Costs
    • Economic Slowdowns
    • International Expansion Risks

    5. Valuation & Investment Thesis

    Valuation Metrics

    Current Price: ₹748

    Target Price: ₹820-₹850 (12-month)

    EV/EBITDA: 25x FY26E

    P/E Multiple: 60x FY26E

    6. Financial Projections (FY2025-2027)

    Metric FY2024 (Actual) FY2025 (Est) FY2026 (Est) FY2027 (Est)
    Revenue (₹ Cr) 6,76,875 7,90,000 9,00,000 10,50,000
    EBITDA Margin (%) 32.9% 34.0% 35.2% 36.5%
    PAT (₹ Cr) 1,33,024 1,62,000 1,85,000 2,10,000
    EPS (₹) 8.86 10.95 12.50 14.20
    ROCE (%) 15.1% 16.8% 17.5% 18.0%

    7. Conclusion

    IHCL remains a high-quality hospitality play, benefiting from rising travel demand, luxury expansion, and institutional catering growth. While its valuation is expensive, strong earnings growth justifies its premium.

    Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence.

  • Lemon Tree Hotels Q3: 42% Profit Surge, 2500 Rooms Pipeline by FY27

    Lemon Tree Hotels – Q3 FY2025 Results Analysis

    Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd – Q3 FY2025 Results

    Value Pick Best Stock to buy today

    Stock Overview

    Market Cap: ₹11,682 Cr

    Current Price: ₹147

    52-Week High/Low: ₹162 / ₹112

    Stock P/E: 65.3

    Book Value: ₹12.8

    Dividend Yield: 0.00%

    ROCE: 11.4%

    ROE: 16.3%

    Debt: ₹2,270 Cr

    Reserves: ₹224 Cr

    Promoter Holding: 22.8%

    OPM: 48.7%

    Q3 FY2025 Financial Performance

    Revenue: ₹1,235 Cr (YoY growth: 24.2%)

    Operating Profit (EBITDA): ₹601 Cr (YoY growth: 31.5%)

    Operating Profit Margin: 48.7% (up from 46.2% in Q3 FY2024)

    Net Profit (PAT): ₹179 Cr (YoY growth: 42.6%)

    Quarterly Sales Growth: 22.4%

    Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 1.01

    Hotel Pipeline & Expansion Plans

    New Openings (FY2025-FY2027)

    • Mumbai: Aurika, Navi Mumbai, Lemon Tree Premier
    • Bangalore: Lemon Tree Premier & Red Fox
    • Goa: Aurika Beach Resort, Candolim
    • Jaipur: Lemon Tree Premier
    • Pipeline cities: Chandigarh, Pune, Chennai, Coimbatore

    Total Room Additions: ~2,500 new rooms by FY2027

    International Expansion

    • Middle East: Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Doha (under Aurika brand)
    • South Asia: Nepal, Bhutan, and Sri Lanka
    • Focus: High-end leisure travelers

    Capital Expenditure & Strategic Rationale

    Planned CapEx (FY2025-FY2027): ₹1,500 Cr

    Major Investment Areas:

    • New owned hotels in strategic locations
    • Property refurbishment
    • Technology & digital transformation
    • Sustainability initiatives

    Competitive Landscape

    Key Competitors

    • Indian Hotels (Taj, Vivanta, Ginger)
    • EIH (Oberoi, Trident)
    • Chalet Hotels & Marriott-managed properties
    • Sarovar & Radisson

    Competitive Advantages

    • Asset-light expansion model
    • Strong urban presence
    • Cost leadership in operations
    • Growing brand recognition

    Risks & Challenges

    Valuation Risk

    • P/E of 65.3x above industry average
    • EV/EBITDA at 21x indicates stretched valuation

    Debt & Financial Risk

    • ₹2,270 Cr debt burden
    • Net debt/EBITDA: 3.8x

    Market Risks

    • Cyclical nature of hotel demand
    • Potential corporate travel slowdown
    • Competitive pricing pressure

    Valuation Metrics

    EV/EBITDA (FY25E): 21x (vs industry avg of ~18x)

    Price-to-Book Ratio: 11.5x (vs sector average of 7x)

    Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research before making financial decisions.

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