Category: Renewables

  • Waaree Renewable Technologies – Latest Q4 FY2025 Results : Powering India’s Solar Revolution with 75% Profit Growth

    Waaree Renewable Technologies Ltd (NSE: WAAREERTL), a leading player in India’s renewable energy landscape, has posted impressive financial Latest Q4 FY2025 Results, demonstrating robust growth and positioning itself strategically in the expanding solar energy sector. This comprehensive analysis examines the company’s recent performance metrics, strategic initiatives, and long-term growth trajectory.

    Executive Overview

    Waaree RTL, a subsidiary of Waaree Energies, has cemented its position as India’s premier solar EPC player with vertically integrated capabilities across the value chain. The company’s Q4 FY25 performance highlights include:

    • 74.4% year-over-year revenue growth to ₹476.6 crore
    • 75.4% increase in consolidated PAT to ₹93.8 crore
    • Impressive EPS of ₹9.00, up 75.1% from previous year
    • EBITDA margin of 19.5%, showing slight compression of 130 basis points
    • Robust order book of 3,263 MWp, representing 38% year-over-year growth

    Waaree RTL Q4 FY25 Performance Metrics

    Key Financial Metrics & Position

    Market Position:

    • Market Capitalization: ₹10,700 crore
    • Current Price: ₹1,026 per share
    • 52-week Range: ₹732-₹3,038

    Valuation Metrics:

    • P/E Ratio (FY25): 46.0×
    • P/BV Ratio: 23.4× (Book Value ₹43.8)
    • ROE: 65.3%
    • ROCE: 61.9%

    Financial Strength:

    • Net Debt: ₹27.4 crore
    • Annual Sales (FY25): ₹1,597.8 crore (+84.2% 3-year CAGR)
    • Net Worth: ₹454.9 crore
    • Cash Position: ₹78.8 crore
    • Dividend: ₹1 per share (Yield: 0.10%)

    Management & Governance Updates

    Waaree RTL has strengthened its leadership team with strategic appointments effective April 16, 2025:

    • Mr. Sudhir Arya appointed as Independent Director
    • Mr. Sunil Rathi elevated to Executive Director
    • Mr. Manmohan Sharma appointed as CFO

    The company’s ESOP plan recorded a charge of ₹29.1 lacs for the year, with a cumulative 6.87 lacs options issued. CARE Ratings has affirmed an A+ (Stable) rating, reflecting strong financial health and enabling competitive project financing capabilities.

    Growth Strategy & CAPEX Plans

    Waaree RTL Growth Strategy & Expansion Plans

    Waaree RTL has outlined an ambitious growth strategy focusing on four key areas:

    1. EPC Leadership:
      • Targeting 3-5 GW per annum of new project wins
      • Recent successes include 255 MW and 105 MW solar projects
      • Secured 40 MWh BESS (Battery Energy Storage System) project in Q4
    2. O&M Services:
      • Currently managing ~695 MW O&M portfolio
      • Aim to triple third-party O&M revenues by FY28
      • Leveraging market growth projected at ~23% CAGR
    3. New Business Verticals:
      • BESS: Participation in Government of India’s VGF scheme with plans to develop 4 GWh by FY31
      • Green Hydrogen: In-house manufacturing of electrolysers
      • Floating Solar: 2.3 MW already commissioned with target expansion to 50 MW by FY27
    4. Backward Integration:
      • Strategic access to parent company’s planned 25.7 GW module manufacturing capacity
      • Ensures cost leadership and supply chain security

    Long-Term Projections & Returns Analysis

    Waaree RTL 20-Year Financial Projections

    Waaree RTL has presented comprehensive long-term financial projections spanning the next 20 years, showcasing significant growth potential:

    5-Year Outlook (FY30):

    • Revenue: ₹3,974 crore (20% CAGR from FY25)
    • PAT: ₹557 crore
    • EPS: ₹53.4
    • ROE: 35%
    • Implied Price (@25× PE): ₹1,335 (+30% from current)

    10-Year Outlook (FY35):

    • Revenue: ₹8,000 crore (15% CAGR from FY30)
    • PAT: ₹1,120 crore
    • EPS: ₹107.2
    • ROE: 30%
    • Implied Price: ₹2,680 (+161% from current)

    15-Year Outlook (FY40):

    • Revenue: ₹15,616 crore (12% CAGR from FY35)
    • PAT: ₹2,186 crore
    • EPS: ₹209.4
    • ROE: 25%
    • Implied Price: ₹5,235 (+410% from current)

    20-Year Outlook (FY45):

    • Revenue: ₹25,360 crore (10% CAGR from FY40)
    • PAT: ₹3,631 crore
    • EPS: ₹347.6
    • ROE: 20%
    • Implied Price: ₹8,690 (+748% from current)

    Total Return Potential:

    • 5-year CAGR: 4.2%
    • 10-year CAGR: 8.7%
    • 15-year CAGR: 11.5%
    • 20-year CAGR: 12.8%

    These projections assume a gradual deceleration in revenue growth rates over time, stable margin and payout ratios, and P/E multiple re-rating to a long-term average of 25× as the company matures.

    Expense Analysis & Growth Metrics

    Waaree RTL Expense Analysis & Growth Metrics

    Waaree RTL has delivered impressive growth metrics while managing its expenses effectively:

    Growth Metrics:

    • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: 84.2%
    • Order Book Growth (YoY): 38%
    • PAT Growth (YoY): 75.4%
    • EPS Growth (YoY): 75.1%

    Expense Analysis:

    • EBITDA Margin (Q4 FY25): 19.5%
    • EBITDA Margin Change: -130 basis points
    • Exceptional Item (GST interest): ₹4.02 crore charge
    • ESOP Expense: ₹29.1 lacs

    Bull Case Scenario:

    • Faster O&M revenue ramp-up than projected
    • Strong traction in BESS and green hydrogen segments
    • Margin expansion through vertical integration efficiencies
    • Higher multiple re-rating with accelerated clean energy adoption

    Bear Case Scenario:

    • Execution delays in major projects
    • Raw material price inflation impacting margins
    • Unfavorable GST litigation outcomes
    • Increased competition in the solar EPC space
    • Interest rate hikes affecting project economics

    Credit Rating & Dividend Analysis

    Waaree RTL Credit Rating & Dividend Analysis

    Credit Rating Analysis:

    • Current Rating: CARE A+, Stable (April 2025)
    • No recent changes in rating
    • Implications: Strong credit rating enables competitive project financing and bolsters customer/supplier confidence
    • Financial Strength: Net debt of ₹27.4 crore with cash reserves of ₹78.8 crore

    Dividend Policy & Yield:

    • Current Dividend: ₹1.00 per share
    • Dividend Yield: 0.10%
    • Payout Policy: Reinvestment priority for growth
    • Future Outlook: Payout ratio expected to gradually increase as free cash flow strengthens beyond FY27

    Valuation Analysis

    Waaree RTL Valuation Analysis

    At its current price of ₹1,026 per share, Waaree RTL trades at premium valuations compared to industry peers, though with significant justifications:

    Current Valuation Metrics:

    • Market Capitalization: ₹10,700 crore
    • Price: ₹1,026 per share
    • 52-week Range: ₹732-₹3,038
    • P/E Ratio (FY25): 46.0×
    • P/BV Ratio: 23.4× (Book Value: ₹43.8)

    Peer Comparison:

    • Waaree RTL: P/E 46.0×, ROE 65.3%, 3-Year Revenue CAGR 84.2%
    • Mid-cap Peer Average: P/E 20×-25×, ROE 25-30%, 3-Year Revenue CAGR 40-45%

    Fair Value Assessment:

    • Fair Value Range: ₹1,250-₹1,300 (25× FY30E EPS)
    • Premium Valuation Justification:
      1. Industry-leading ROE exceeding 60%
      2. Asset-light business model with strong capital efficiency
      3. Exceptional growth visibility through robust order book
      4. Strategic diversification into BESS and green hydrogen
      5. Vertical integration advantages through parent company

    Conclusion & Investment Outlook

    Waaree Renewable Technologies has demonstrated exceptional financial performance in Q4 FY25, with revenue growth of 74.4% and PAT growth of 75.4% year-over-year. The company’s strong order book of 3,263 MWp provides visibility for continued growth, while strategic initiatives in BESS, green hydrogen, and floating solar position it well for the future.

    With India’s solar capacity addition projected to grow at a 23% CAGR over FY25-30, Waaree RTL is well-positioned to capitalize on this tremendous market opportunity. The company’s vertical integration advantages, industry-leading ROE of 65.3%, and robust balance sheet provide a strong foundation for sustained growth.

    While the current valuation at 46× FY25 EPS appears premium compared to peers, it is justified by the company’s superior growth metrics and return ratios. The long-term return potential remains attractive, with projected 20-year CAGR of 12.8%, translating to potential returns of 748% by FY45.

    For investors seeking exposure to India’s renewable energy transition, Waaree RTL presents a compelling investment case with its leadership position, technological capabilities, and strong execution track record. The fair value range of ₹1,250-₹1,300 suggests upside potential from current levels, making it an attractive consideration for both growth and value investors with a long-term horizon.

    Key Investment Considerations:

    • Strong execution capability demonstrated by 74.4% revenue growth
    • Industry-leading ROE of 65.3% with asset-light model
    • Robust order book providing multi-year growth visibility
    • Strategic diversification into high-growth segments
    • Fair value upside of approximately 22-27% from current levels

    Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and/or consult a registered financial advisor before making investment decisions.

  • Websol Energy: 600% Revenue Surge, ₹580 Cr Projected Growth, Solar Manufacturing Powerhouse in 2025

    Websol Energy System Limited – Q3 FY2025 Results

    Websol Energy System Limited

    Q3 FY2025 Result Research Report

    Value pick Multibagger stock for long term

    1. Executive Summary

    Websol Energy System Limited has demonstrated a strong financial recovery in Q3 FY2025, achieving substantial revenue and profitability growth. The company’s expansion initiatives, focusing on increasing solar cell and module production capacity, position it as a key domestic player in India’s renewable energy sector.

    2. Financial Performance

    Revenue

    ₹147.31 crore in Q3 FY2025

    2.2% QoQ increase

    Significant YoY surge from ₹0.51 crore in Q3 FY2024

    EBITDA

    ₹67.90 crore

    7.9% QoQ growth from ₹62.95 crore

    Driven by supply chain efficiencies

    Net Profit

    ₹41.56 crore in Q3 FY2025

    Compared to loss of ₹(54.64) crore in Q3 FY2024

    Margins: EBITDA 46.1%, Net Profit 28.2%

    3. Future Growth Plans & Expansion Strategy

    Phase I Expansion

    • Commissioned 600 MW Mono PERC Bifacial Solar Cell Line
    • Commissioned 550 MW Fully Automated Module Line at Falta, West Bengal facility

    Phase II Expansion

    • Additional 600 MW Mono PERC Bifacial Solar Cell Line
    • Expected to commence production by July 2025
    • ₹220 crore investment funded through internal accruals and external financing

    Phase III Expansion

    • Greenfield project under evaluation
    • Board considering Joint Ventures or forming a subsidiary to scale solar business

    4. Products & Market Position

    Solar Cells

    • Entire FY2024-25 production capacity is fully booked
    • Strong demand expected for Phase II capacity by end of FY2025

    Solar Modules

    • Secured orders worth ₹116 crore for exports
    • Export markets include US, UK, Africa, and India
    • Reflects strong global market penetration

    Competitive Advantage

    • Advanced technology in Mono PERC Bifacial Cells
    • Improving efficiency
    • Reducing dependency on imports

    5. Capital Expenditure & Strategic Rationale

    • Investment in capacity expansion aligns with Indian government’s push for domestic solar manufacturing
    • Accelerated depreciation of assets indicates rapid technological upgrades
    • Expansion positions Websol to capture higher market share in solar energy value chain

    6. Competitive Landscape & Risks

    Competition

    • Faces competition from domestic players like Tata Power Solar and Adani Solar
    • Competes with international manufacturers

    Regulatory & Policy Risks

    • Potential impacts from changes in government subsidies
    • Import duty modifications
    • Shifts in renewable energy policies

    Supply Chain & Input Costs

    • Potential fluctuations in raw material prices
    • Sensitivity to silicon wafer and glass price changes
    • Possible margin impacts

    Technology Obsolescence

    • Rapid advancements in solar technology
    • Necessitates continual investment
    • Need to stay technologically competitive

    7. Valuation & Investment Thesis

    • Strong order book and growing margins
    • Projected FY2025 Revenue: ~₹540-580 crore post Phase II commissioning
    • Potential P/E Multiple: 15-18x
    • Attractive growth investment with robust market positioning

    8. Conclusion & Disclaimer

    Websol Energy System Limited is on a strong growth trajectory, supported by its expansion initiatives and robust demand. However, risks related to competition, policy changes, and technological shifts should be monitored.

    Disclaimer

    This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their due diligence before making any investment decisions.

  • Green Energy Disruptor: Sterling & Wilson’s Renewable Revolution – Future of Solar Infrastructure Unveiled

    Sterling & Wilson Renewable Energy

    Sterling & Wilson Renewable Energy Ltd – Q3 Result January 2025

    Value Picks Best Shares for long term investment

    Key Metrics

    Market Cap:

    ₹7,906 Cr.

    Current Price:

    ₹339

    52W High/Low:

    ₹828 / ₹338

    Stock P/E:

    288

    Book Value:

    ₹41.4

    Dividend Yield:

    0.00%

    ROCE:

    3.77%

    ROE:

    -56.7%

    Financial Highlights

    Debt: ₹907 Cr.
    Reserves: ₹942 Cr.
    Sales Growth (YoY): 155%
    Profit Growth (YoY): 104%

    Investment Thesis

    Sterling & Wilson Renewable Energy Ltd (SWREL) is a global leader in solar EPC (Engineering, Procurement, and Construction) services, with significant operations across India and globally. Despite weak financial performance, including a negative ROE and high valuation multiples, SWREL is backed by a robust order pipeline, strong industry tailwinds, and operational improvements. These factors position it as a speculative growth investment in the renewable energy sector.

    Future Growth Drivers

    Strong Order Book

    • Unexecuted order value of ₹10,167 Cr as of December 2024
    • 26% increase compared to March 2024
    • Recent domestic orders:
      • BOS package (625 MW DC) in Gujarat
      • BOS project (396 MW DC) in Rajasthan

    Product Diversification

    • Portfolio expansion into hybrid energy
    • Energy storage projects
    • Floating solar initiatives
    • Waste-to-energy projects
    • Focus on solar-plus-storage solutions

    Geographic Reach

    • Operational presence in 28 countries
    • Active projects in 20 countries
    • Key international markets:
      • South Africa
      • MENA Region
      • Southeast Asia

    Sectoral Tailwinds

    • India’s ambitious renewable energy goals driving market demand
    • Accelerating global adoption of green energy technologies
    • Strategic alignment with government renewable energy initiatives
    • Favorable policy landscape supporting solar energy adoption

    Competitive Landscape

    Domestic Competitors

    • Tata Power Solar
    • Adani Renewable Energy

    Global Competitors

    • First Solar
    • JinkoSolar
    • Trina Solar

    Risks and Considerations

    Financial Risks

    • Negative ROE of -56.7%
    • Low ROCE at 3.77%
    • High receivables (₹2,422 Cr)
    • Potential liquidity challenges

    Operational Risks

    • Legacy international project impacts
    • Seasonal and cyclical order inflows
    • Dependence on government policies
    • Foreign exchange fluctuation risks

    Valuation and Investment Outlook

    Valuation Metrics

    • Current P/E Ratio: 288
    • Intrinsic Value Range: ₹375-₹400/share
    • Basis: Forward earnings projection
    • Estimated execution ramp-up potential

    Investment Recommendations

    • Suitable for high-risk investors
    • Long-term investment horizon recommended
    • Speculative growth opportunity
    • Potential in renewable energy sector transition

    © 2025 Comprehensive Stock Research Report

    Disclaimer: For informational purposes only. Consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

  • Oriana Power Ltd: 414% Profit Growth, 184% Revenue Surge – Leading Solar Energy Transition

    Equity Research Report: Oriana Power Ltd

    Value Pick: Best stock to buy today

    Oriana Power Ltd

    Executive Summary

    Oriana Power Ltd, a prominent player in solar energy solutions, operates across two primary business verticals: EPC and operations of solar power projects, and Build, Own, Operate, and Transfer (BOOT) solar energy solutions. With a sharp focus on low-carbon energy solutions, Oriana is well-positioned in the burgeoning renewable energy sector.

    Business Overview

    Incorporated in 2013, Oriana Power Ltd specializes in rooftop and ground-mounted solar installations and off-site solar farms under open access. The company’s market capitalization stands at ₹4,601 crore, with a current price of ₹2,264 per share. Notable financial metrics include a Stock P/E of 47.4, a ROCE of 37.5%, and a ROE of 61%.

    Financial Performance

    Revenue Growth

    • Sales:
      • FY2023: ₹135 crore
      • FY2024: ₹383 crore (183% YoY growth)
      • TTM: ₹678 crore (184% growth compared to the previous year)

    Profitability

    • Net Profit:
      • FY2023: ₹11 crore
      • FY2024: ₹54 crore
      • TTM: ₹97 crore (414% YoY growth)
    • Operating Profit Margin (OPM) improved from 14% in FY2023 to 21% in FY2024.

    Shareholding Pattern (as of Sep 2024)

    • Promoters: 61.41%
    • FIIs: 0.19%
    • DIIs: 0.00%
    • Public: 38.40%

    Future Projections

    Revenue and Profit Growth

    The company’s compounded sales and profit growth over three years are 125% and 322%, respectively. With robust sector tailwinds and a clear focus on execution, Oriana Power is likely to sustain high double-digit growth in the foreseeable future.

    Capital Expenditure (Capex)

    Oriana is heavily investing in capacity expansion and technology. Fixed assets increased from ₹29 crore in FY2023 to ₹135 crore in FY2024. An additional ₹52 crore in CWIP suggests ongoing projects likely to enhance operational capacity.

    Debt and Financing

    Total borrowings rose from ₹71 crore in FY2023 to ₹184 crore in FY2024. Despite the increased leverage, the strong ROE of 61% and high operating margins underline efficient capital utilization.

    Strategic Focus

    • Expansion in solar EPC and BOOT verticals.
    • Targeting corporate clients seeking renewable energy compliance.
    • Strengthening operational efficiencies to sustain high OPM.

    Risks and Concerns

    • High dependency on debt financing could pressure interest coverage.
    • Competitive intensity in the solar EPC sector.
    • Regulatory uncertainties related to renewable energy policies.

    Investment Thesis

    Oriana Power Ltd is at the forefront of India’s energy transition journey, capitalizing on the growing demand for sustainable energy solutions. The company’s consistent financial performance, aggressive expansion plans, and sectoral growth make it an attractive investment for long-term value creation.

    Valuation

    Given the current Stock P/E of 47.4 and significant growth in EPS, Oriana’s valuation remains justified for a growth-focused investor. Continued improvement in operational metrics and strategic execution would further support premium valuations.

    Disclaimer

    This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors are advised to conduct their own research and consult with their financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

    © 2024 Ctoi Equity Research. All Rights Reserved.

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