Exicom Tele-System Ltd
Value Pick Multibagger Stock for long term investment
exicom.in BSE: 544133 NSE: EXICOM
Executive Summary
Exicom Tele-System Ltd. is a frontrunner in the sustainable energy and EV charging ecosystem, leveraging its 30+ years of expertise in power solutions. The company is poised to benefit from its aggressive capacity expansion, innovative product offerings, and government-driven tailwinds in the electric mobility and renewable energy space. Despite short-term earnings pressure, Exicom’s strategic positioning and long-term growth potential make it an attractive opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the EV and clean energy transition.
Key Company Metrics
- Market Cap: ₹2,948 Cr.
- Current Price: ₹244
- 52-Week High/Low: ₹530/₹169
- P/E Ratio: 78.3
- Book Value: ₹60.4
- Debt: ₹620 Cr.
- Dividend Yield: 0.00%
- ROCE: 20.0%
- ROE: 13.5%
- PAT (FY24): ₹37.7 Cr.
- Sales (FY24): ₹970 Cr.
- Sales Growth (3Y): 25.7%
- Profit Growth (3Y): 163%
- Promoter Holding: 69.6%
- Free Float: 30.4%
Future Growth Drivers
EV Charging Infrastructure
- Comprehensive product portfolio catering to AC and DC fast chargers, home chargers, and liquid-cooled dispensers (480 kW).
- Favorable government policies, including ₹10,900 Cr. in subsidies and incentives for EVs and charging infrastructure under India’s EV roadmap.
- Targeting a dense urban and highway charging network with high-powered stations to address range anxiety.
- Key milestones:
- Expanded EVSE (Electric Vehicle Supply Equipment) capacity at the upcoming Hyderabad plant.
- Orders secured from major Charge Point Operators (CPOs) and OEMs.
- Integration of “Plug & Charge” functionality by March 2025.
Critical Power Solutions
- Large projects include:
- BharatNet III (₹2,000 Cr. opportunity)
- BSNL 4G saturation (₹360 Cr.)
- Telecom Li-ion battery upgrades (₹800 Cr.)
- Entry into new segments like data centers, energy storage, and renewable integration.
- Exicom maintains a leadership position with advanced hybrid power systems and lithium-ion battery solutions.
Export Markets & Product Innovation
- Export Market Strategy:
- Focused expansion in Southeast Asia, Europe, and the US
- NEVI-compliant chargers
- Partnerships with global OEMs
- Collaboration with Hubject for e-roaming solutions
- Product Innovation:
- ₹40 Cr. investment in R&D
- Portable 3.3kW home chargers
- Advanced distributed chargers (240-600 kW)
Planned Expansions
Hyderabad Integrated Manufacturing Facility
- Total built-up area: 280,000 sq. ft.
- Civil work completion: January 2025
- Trial production expected: April 2025
- Capacity Expansions:
- AC charger production: 42k to 180k units
- DC chargers: 2,400 to 3,500 units
- Green building practices, including 1.5 MW solar plant
IPO Proceeds Deployment
- ₹151.47 Cr. allocated for Telangana plant (₹37.35 Cr. utilized)
- ₹69 Cr. for incremental working capital
- ₹40 Cr. for R&D and product development
Financial Projections
- Revenue for FY24: ₹970 Cr.
- Projected CAGR: 20-25% over next three years
- EBITDA margin improvement:
- FY24: 8.35%
- FY27 (projected): ~12%
- PAT Projection:
- FY24: ₹37.7 Cr.
- FY25 (projected): ₹50 Cr.
- FY27 (projected): ₹100 Cr.
- Debt/Equity ratio expected to reduce steadily
Competitive Landscape
Peers
- Delta Electronics: Global scale and technology leader in EVSE
- ABB: Premium DC fast chargers
- Tritium: Focused on modular DC charging
Exicom’s Strategic Advantages
- Vertical integration reduces production costs
- 200+ service engineers across India
- Extensive partnerships with OEMs, utilities, and fleet operators
Inherent Risks
High Valuation Multiples
P/E ratio of 78.3x indicates stock priced for significant growth, leaving limited room for valuation errors.
Execution Challenges
Potential delays in plant commissioning or product rollout could affect earnings momentum.
Policy & Competitive Risks
Over-reliance on government subsidies and potential market share erosion by larger global players with advanced technologies or aggressive pricing.
Valuation
Valuation Methodologies
- Using discounted cash flow (DCF) methodology with a 10% discount rate, Exicom’s fair value per share is estimated at ₹300-₹320.
- Peer comparison and EV/EBITDA multiples suggest a valuation range of ₹290-₹310, reflecting the company’s high growth potential and leadership in EV infrastructure.
Investment Thesis
Exicom represents a unique opportunity to capitalize on the EV revolution and renewable energy transition. Strong growth drivers, capacity expansions, and a robust order book support long-term bullish outlook. Recommended for investors with high-risk appetite.
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