GHCL Limited (NSE: GHCL) – Comprehensive Q2 FY 2025 Financial Analysis & Investment Outlook

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GHCL Limited (NSE: GHCL)

GHCL Limited (NSE: GHCL) Equity Research Report | Q2 FY 2025 Performance Analysis

Company Overview GHCL Limited is a diversified Indian chemical company with primary focus on soda ash, sodium bicarbonate, and emerging interests in salt and bromine businesses. The company is strategically expanding its product portfolio and operational capabilities.

Financial Highlights – Q2 FY 2025 Key Metrics

  • Revenue: ₹3,245 crores (-19.8% Sales Growth)

  • Market Capitalization: ₹6,433 crores

  • Current Stock Price: ₹672

  • EBITDA: ₹228 crores (+2% YoY)

  • EBITDA Margin: 23.5% (Operating Profit Margin)

  • PAT: ₹530 crores

  • Profit Growth: -40.2%

  • Debt: ₹175 crores

  • Reserves: ₹3,078 crores

  • Cash Position: Net cash surplus of ₹861 crores

Stock Performance Metrics

  • 52-Week High/Low: ₹727 / ₹435

  • Price to Earnings (P/E): 12.1

  • Book Value: ₹331

  • Dividend Yield: 1.79%

  • Return on Equity (ROE): 17.3%

  • Return on Capital Employed (ROCE): 20.6%

  • Face Value: ₹10

  • Number of Equity Shares: 9.58 crores

Key Financial Ratios

  • 3-Year Sales Growth: 11.4%

  • 3-Year Profit Growth: 21.8%

  • Change in Promoter Holding (3 Years): -0.03%

  • Dividend (Previous Annually): ₹167 crores

Operational Insights Soda Ash Business

  • Market Position: Experiencing bottom of the cycle

  • Volume Impact: Temporary loss of 7,000-8,000 tons due to maintenance

  • Global Dynamics:

    • European demand remains soft

    • China showing mixed signals with economic stimulus

    • Potential demand recovery expected in 2025

Emerging Business Segments Salt and Bromine

  • Current Salt Capacity: 0.8-1.0 million tons

  • Planned Expansion:

    • New land parcel will increase salt capacity to 3 million tons

    • Bromine capacity targeted at 15,000 tons

    • Aim to become fourth/fifth largest bromine producer in India

Solar Glass Opportunity

  • Demand Estimate: 15,000 tons of soda ash per gigawatt

  • Current Contribution: Insignificant

  • Future Potential: Significant growth expected in next 2-3 years

Strategic Initiatives Growth Strategies

  1. Soda Ash

    • Two-phase greenfield expansion (5.5 lakh tons each phase)

    • Focus on domestic and nearby markets

  2. Bromine

    • Developing bromine and bromine derivatives

    • Exploring strategic product portfolio expansion

    • Targeting significant market presence

  3. Cost Optimization

    • Continuous focus on energy efficiency

    • Salt yield improvement program

    • 100% captive salt consumption strategy

Risk Factors

  • Geopolitical uncertainties

  • Global economic slowdown

  • Potential delay in FGD (Flue Gas Desulfurization) projects

  • Volatile freight and import dynamics

Valuation Perspective

  • EBITDA per Ton Trend: Historically 8-9% CAGR

  • Current Valuation: Stable performance with potential upside

  • Trigger Points:

    • Demand recovery in Europe

    • US and South American market revival

    • Solar glass sector expansion

Investment Thesis

  • Strong operational efficiency

  • Diversification into high-potential segments

  • Robust balance sheet

  • Consistent cost management

  • Potential beneficiary of economic recovery

Recommendation BUY with a NEUTRAL-POSITIVE outlook Disclaimer: This report is based on management commentary and should not be considered financial advice. Investors are recommended to conduct their own due diligence.

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